Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020600 0.022265 0.024001 0.025947 0.028069 0.030315 0.032874
2025-10-05 0.017784 0.020160 0.022770 0.025856 0.029412 0.033389 0.038185
2025-10-12 0.016058 0.018861 0.022061 0.025999 0.030731 0.036252 0.043213
2025-10-19 0.014746 0.017821 0.021446 0.026054 0.031782 0.038707 0.047764
2025-10-26 0.013666 0.016921 0.020864 0.026016 0.032616 0.040839 0.051949
2025-11-02 0.012775 0.016161 0.020359 0.025984 0.033381 0.042855 0.056031
2025-11-09 0.011836 0.015257 0.019590 0.025525 0.033516 0.044004 0.058978
2025-11-16 0.011017 0.014448 0.018876 0.025065 0.033581 0.045013 0.061739
2025-11-23 0.010435 0.013909 0.018474 0.024978 0.034115 0.046649 0.065422
2025-11-30 0.009874 0.013360 0.018018 0.024775 0.034450 0.047996 0.068737
2025-12-07 0.009392 0.012888 0.017635 0.024638 0.034851 0.049431 0.072233
2025-12-14 0.008930 0.012418 0.017225 0.024430 0.035123 0.050670 0.075479
2025-12-21 0.008547 0.012055 0.016968 0.024460 0.035788 0.052592 0.080002
2025-12-28 0.008146 0.011648 0.016629 0.024351 0.036243 0.054230 0.084207
2026-01-04 0.007846 0.011371 0.016460 0.024481 0.037058 0.056452 0.089474
2026-01-11 0.007548 0.011079 0.016251 0.024531 0.037739 0.058488 0.094553
2026-01-18 0.007250 0.010772 0.016001 0.024496 0.038274 0.060305 0.099366
2026-01-25 0.006976 0.010485 0.015764 0.024466 0.038804 0.062130 0.104296
2026-02-01 0.006625 0.010063 0.015297 0.024037 0.038649 0.062799 0.107237
2026-02-08 0.006298 0.009662 0.014844 0.023606 0.038461 0.063391 0.110061
2026-02-15 0.006070 0.009410 0.014613 0.023525 0.038854 0.064986 0.114787
2026-02-22 0.005833 0.009131 0.014326 0.023334 0.039042 0.066226 0.118927
2026-03-01 0.005624 0.008887 0.014085 0.023206 0.039328 0.067645 0.123481